Observing the market (UK & RSA)
An overview of residential property dynamics shaping both markets this year.
The UK housing market has shown modest resilience in 2026. Multiple property forecasts suggest house prices may rise between 2-4% nationally, reflecting a transitional environment where affordability and economic confidence are influential. This follows a period of slower growth and has been attributed in part to easing pressures on borrowing costs and wage growth outpacing price increases in some regions.
However, regional differences remain meaningful. Northern cities like Manchester, Leeds, and Newcastle are frequently highlighted as areas with stronger growth potential and comparatively attractive yields, while more expensive southern markets (including London) continue to face affordability constraints.
Rental market dynamics continue to reflect structural imbalances: persistent undersupply supports rental demand and yields that many forecasts project in the 5-6% range nationally, with some pockets (e.g., student accommodation or regeneration hubs) potentially higher.
Recent trends also show variability in tenant activity, with some data indicating lower rental enquiries as ownership becomes marginally more affordable for certain cohorts. These shifts underscore how housing demand is responsive to broader economic sentiment and affordability trends.
In South Africa, 2026 is seeing a more mixed but generally positive property picture. National house price growth has been supported by moderating interest rates, subdued inflation, and consecutive periods of market activity that outpaced general economic indicators.
Different regions are performing unevenly - the Western Cape notably leads in price inflation, while cities in Gauteng and KwaZulu-Natal show moderate but steady demand. Forecasts suggest continued national growth in housing values of roughly 3-4%, especially in affordable and urban areas where structural demand remains strong.
Rental markets are also notable: rising living costs and shifting tenure patterns have seen rental escalation outpace general inflation, particularly in segments below mid‑to‑upper market bands. Demographic preferences and lifestyle trends continue to shape demand, including interest in sustainability features and connectivity in residential settings.

